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Despite US aid, Ukraine struggles to maintain sufficient manpower on the front lines. Ukraine's dwindling soldier numbers are a problem that could get worse, a war analyst warned. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementUkraine is having trouble maintaining a sufficient force size in its fight against Russia, which could lead to more problems down the road, war analyst Michael Kofman said. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Michael Kofman Organizations: Service, Russia, Carnegie Endowment, International, Business Locations: Ukraine, Ukrainian, Kharkiv
Shorter trips help me to break up the monotony of life without sacrificing the comfort of home. Of course, it was worth it in the end to save money so that I could travel for nine months. However, now that I take a few shorter trips a year, I have more flexibility to make them everything I want them to be. In fact, when I got back, I was able to create a space that took inspiration from the places I'd been. I think traveling is something everyone should prioritize, but there are ways to see the world that don't involve doing it full time.
Persons: , Dasha, yearn, I'd Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Europe, Latin America, Italy, Paris
After visiting over 50 European cities, I'm often asked which places have been my favorites. However, I've found that each city I've been to has offered something different. A few of my favorite places to visit include Barcelona and Ljubljana, Slovenia. As someone who's visited over 50 European cities, I can help you narrow down your options. Here are the five cities in Europe I absolutely loved and can't wait to return to.
Persons: I'm, I've, , who's Organizations: Service, Union, EU Locations: Barcelona, Ljubljana, Slovenia, Europe
I've traveled to almost 40 countries despite my fear of flying. I've also spent a lot of time educating myself on air travel to help manage my anxiety. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementFor those who have a fear of flying, stepping onto an airplane can be anxiety-inducing. As someone who's visited nearly 40 countries — and has gotten off a flight due to the fear of flying — I've come up with several techniques to help manage my flight anxiety.
Persons: I've, , who's Organizations: Service, Business
Military experts say Ukraine can still win against Russia by prioritizing defense and seizing key opportunities. War watchers say that Ukraine can still win against Russia's invasion if it prioritizes defense, rebuilding combat capability, and hitting Russia where it is most vulnerable as the country enters its third year of war. If Ukraine consistently holds its own against Russia, Kofman noted, this would keep Russia in a weak position by letting attrition take its toll. "It was to put Ukraine in a position where it can attain decisive leverage to negotiate with Russia war termination, from a favorable position and then to attain a durable peace." Davis said that Ukraine needs to attempt to negotiate as soon as it can with Russia to end the war.
Persons: watcher's, Michael Kofman, Kofman, STRINGER, Emma Ashford, Henry L, Putin, Ashford, Daniel Davis, Davis, Avdiivka Organizations: Russia, Russia's, Carnegie Endowment, International, Getty, Stimson Center, Kurt & Company, Defense Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Novorossiysk, Europe, Bakhmut District
AdvertisementIf confirmed, it would mark strike twenty-five in a remarkable kill streak that Ukraine told CNN represents the disabling of a full third of Russia's Black Sea Fleet. AdvertisementUkraine's most astonishing triumph came early, in April 2022, when it sank Russia's Black Sea flagship, the Moskva. "Ukraine has been extremely successful against the Black Sea Fleet, forcing Russia to relocate assets further away from Ukraine and the frontline," Germond told BI. AdvertisementDown, but not outIs Ukraine's Black Sea success a solution to Ukraine's stalled ground offensive? This means that any ships sunk result in a longer-term decrease in the Black Sea Fleet.
Persons: , Caesar, Ukraine Navy's, Murad Sezer, Sahaidachny, MAX DELANY, it's, Basil Germond, Germond, Michael Kofman, ” Sidharth, Kaushal, Russia can’t, Organizations: Service, Business, Russia's Ministry of Defence, Ukraine, CNN, Reuters, Getty, Military, Lancaster University, Shadow, Black, The Carnegie Endowment, Planet Labs PBC, Labs, UK’s Ministry of Defence, Royal United Services Institute, Montreux Convention, NATO, Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence Locations: Ukraine, Crimea, Bosphorus, Sevastopol, Moskva, Russian, Syria, Rostov, Minsk, Russia, France, Novorossiysk, Odesa, Ukrainian
Read previewAs the second anniversary of Russia's unprovoked invasion approaches, the situation is beginning to look bleak for Ukraine. But the offensive failed to achieve a breakthrough, and Ukraine is now seeing crucial support from its allies bleed away. Ukraine has previously warned it may not be able to successfully defend itself against Russia without US help. The Senate on Tuesday passed a $95 billion emergency defense aid bill that could help Ukraine. According to reports, Ukraine is struggling to fight off Russian attacks, particularly around the city of Avdiivka, in Donetsk, east Ukraine.
Persons: , Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Valerii Zaluzhny, Valery Zaluzhny, Zaluzhny, Ryan Evans, I'm, Patrick Bury, Michael Kofman, Zelenskyy, Mykhailo Fedorov, they've, Grant Shapps, That's, Basil Germond, Putin, Kofman, Donald Trump, Tucker Carlson Organizations: Service, Business, Representatives, Bloomberg, CNN, Washington Post, UK's University of Bath, CNA Corporation, Associated Press, Reuters, Bury, Defense Intelligence, YouTube, UK's Defence, Black, Fleet, Lancaster University, Republican, Fox News, Ukraine, Trump Locations: Ukraine, Huliaipole, Russia, , Zelenskyy, Ukrainian, Avdiivka, Donetsk, Bury, Iran, North Korea, Al, NATO, Sevastopol, Crimea, Russian
War experts say Kyiv will need more precision-guided munitions to blunt Moscow's advantage in artillery fire. Western officials continue to warn that giving Ukraine more weapons and ammo is the "path to peace." The experts said Moscow's rate of fire will be sustainable next year "in excess of that number." Notably, Ukraine can no longer rely on its US-provided High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) or Excalibur artillery shells to diminish Russia's firepower, the experts said. "Weapons to Ukraine," he said, "is the path to peace."
Persons: , Michael Kofman, Dara Massicot, Rob Lee, Dmytro Smolienko, Lee, HIMARS, Serhii Mykhalchuk, Jens Stoltenberg, Antony Blinken Organizations: Service, Kyiv, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Foreign Policy Research Institute, American, Publishing, Getty, Artillery, NATO, EG, MGM, Tactical Missile Systems, Republican, Western Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Kyiv, Moscow, Donetsk Oblast, France
Russian maintains several advantages over Ukraine, including manpower and material, experts say. To keep Moscow's forces at bay, Kyiv will need to dig in and strengthen its defenses, they said. AdvertisementNearly two years into its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia again has the initiative, and its advantages over Ukraine are mounting. They're struggling as the Russian war machine gains momentum. "Ideally," the experts explained, "Ukraine can absorb Russian offensives while minimizing casualties and position itself to retake the advantage over time."
Persons: , Michael Kofman, Dara Massicot, Rob Lee, They're, Congress —, Biden, Elif, Dmytro Smolienko, Vladimir Putin, Pat Ryder, Kostiantyn, Lee, Massicot Organizations: Service, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Foreign Policy Research Institute, Russian, Roman, Getty, Kyiv, Congress, American, Publishing, Getty Images, Pentagon, Ukraine Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Russia, Moscow, Ukrainian, Donetsk Oblast, Washington, Anadolu, Russian, Avdiivka, Kreminna, Kofman
Ahead of another winter of war, Russia and Ukraine are bolstering their air-defense arsenals. The Russian military appears to be sacrificing elsewhere to reinforce its air defenses in Ukraine. AdvertisementAs the start of the second winter of their renewed war looms, both Ukraine and Russia are trying to beef up their air defenses. AdvertisementBut after two years of incessant barrages by Russian missiles and waves of Russian- and Iranian-made drones, Ukraine is running low on air-defense missiles and cannon ammunition. Russian missiles and drones have been a persistent menace to Ukrainian troops and civilians, but Russia has air-defense problems of its own.
Persons: , Kostya, Ed Ram, Michael Kofman, Kofman, Ercin, Vitaly Nevar, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Russian, Patriot, Ukraine's, Soviet, AIM, 9M, RIM, The Washington, Getty, Carnegie Endowment, International, Anadolu Agency, REUTERS, British Defence Ministry, Defence Ministry, Defense, Foreign Policy, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine's Soviet, America, Soviet, Russian, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Bakhmut, Moscow, Crimea, Baltic, Kaliningrad, Forbes
The US was widely expected to transfer ATACMS missiles to Ukraine sometime this fall. But the Russians still appeared surprised when Ukraine fired ATACMS at air bases in October. Repeated failures to anticipate the arrival of new weapons has cost Russia heavily during the war. This has put the burden of air support on Russian attack helicopters. Maxar Technologies via Getty ImagesTo Kofman and other observers, those helicopter bases were "one of the most obvious targets" for Ukrainian ATACMS strikes.
Persons: , choppers, Michael Kofman, Kofman, Serhii Mykhalchuk, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Ukrainian, Associated Press, Carnegie Endowment, Maxar, Getty, Kyiv, Israel Defense Forces, IDF, Defense, Foreign Policy, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Russian, Russia's Far, Crimea, Ukrainian, Berdyansk, Luhansk, revetments, Swedish, Yom Kippur, Forbes
"Non-stop fighting, assaults, evacuations, and you know, I managed it," he told a Reuters reporter visiting his position on Thursday. FALTERING OFFENSIVEIstoryk serves in a rifles battalion of the 67th Mechanised Brigade in the Serebryanskyi forest in the Luhansk region. More dramatic advances are still possible; last year Russian forces swiftly retreated from positions in Kherson region in early November. "We're exhausted, they're exhausted. Additional reporting by Ivan Lyubysh-Kirdey; Writing by Mike Collett-White Editing by Gareth JonesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Alina Smutko, Valery Zaluzhnyi, Zaluzhnyi, Istoryk, Oleksandr Popov, Michael Kofman, Velyka Novosilka, Popov, Ivan Lyubysh, Mike Collett, Gareth Jones Organizations: 67th Mechanised Brigade, Armed Forces, REUTERS, Russian, Reuters, Carnegie Endowment, International, Artillery, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Kreminna, Luhansk region, West, KREMINNA, pinewood, Russia, Kyiv's, Kyiv, Luhansk, Russia's Belgorod, Azov, Kherson region, Bakhmut, Orikhiv, Velyka, Lyman, North Korea, Zakhid
As a result, Russia's military is ditching one of the main reforms lauched under Vladimir PutinNEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. The German Army in World War II routinely formed combined-arms battlegroups ("kampfgruppen"), as did the US Army's task forces. BTGs were composed of professional contract soldiers, who are generally more capable, competent, and motivated than the sullen conscripts that still hamper Russia's army today. A few high-readiness battalions can't compensate for the low-readiness conscripts that make up about one-third of Russia's army. ALEXANDER NEMENOV/AFP via Getty Images"The Russian military is well-suited to short, high-intensity campaigns defined by a heavy use of artillery," Michael Kofman and Rob Lee, both experts on Russia's military, wrote in June 2022.
Persons: Vladimir Putin, , Vladimir Putin's, Josef Stalin, SERGEY VENYAVSKY, Olesya, Tkacheva, BTGs, SERGEI VENYAVSKY, ALEXANDER NEMENOV, Michael Kofman, Rob Lee, Michael Peck Organizations: Service, Russian, Red Army, Tactical Groups, Getty, Ukraine —, Brussels School, Governance, Wilson Center, Washington DC, German Army, US, Foreign Military Studies Office, Britain's Royal United Services Institute, Troops, Soviet Army, British Army, Ministry of Defense, Russian Armed Forces, Defense, Foreign Policy, Twitter, LinkedIn Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Chechen, AFP, Washington, Russian, Georgia, Moscow, Syria, Russia's, Krasnodar, Soviet, BTGs, Germany, Forbes
The artillery-intensive war in Ukraine is drying up Western ammunition stockpiles. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementAdvertisementNATO's most senior military official warned that the West's ammunition warehouses providing help to Ukraine in its war against Russia are almost empty. He added that that includes "continuing to give, day in, day out, and rebuilding our own stockpiles." But with the future of Western assistance uncertain, Ukraine is now trying to solve the problem itself.
Persons: , Rob Bauer, Bauer, James Heappey, Heappey, Michael Kofman, Rob Lee, Volodymyr Zelenskyy Organizations: NATO, Service, Warsaw Security, Guardian, CNN, Pentagon, US, Foreign Policy Research, Politico Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Netherlands, Europe
The US looks set to send Ukraine the Army Tactical Missile System, which Kyiv has long sought. ATACMS has longer range than Ukraine's other missiles, allowing it to hit valuable Russian targets. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . It took heavy losses when Ukraine introduced HIMARS and began hitting more distant targets, but it adapted to that and has shown signs of adapting to the cruise missiles Ukraine has started using. "That depends on the ability to find and fix targets at that range," Kofman said.
Persons: ATACMS, , Joe Biden, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Doug Bush, Biden, MIKE NELSON, Michael Kofman, Kofman, VITALY TIMKIV, There's, Colby Badhwar, Badhwar, Maxym, HIMARS Organizations: Army Tactical Missile, Service, MGM, Tactical Missile, Washington, Washington DC, US, Bloomberg, Getty, GPS, Carnegie Endowment, International, Kyiv, British Ministry of Defence, Berdyansk, Maxar Locations: Ukraine, Kyiv, Tirana, Albania, AFP, Crimea, Russian, Russia's Krasnodar, Russia, Ukrainian
A Ukrainian soldier called Russian tech support after a captured Russian tank wouldn't start, per Forbes. Ukraine has been capturing and repurposing Russia's tanks for their own use. AdvertisementAdvertisementA Ukrainian officer decided to call Russian tech support for help when he ran into issues operating a captured Russian tank. In the second half of the video, Kochevnik made a call to what he claimed was Uralvagonzavod director Andrey Abakumov. You can see an entire unit composed of nothing but captured Russian tanks," said Kofman, who was speaking at an event hosted by the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Persons: , Kochevnik, Forbes, Aleksander Anatolevich, Anatolevich, Andrey Abakumov, Abakumov, Jakub Janovsky, Michael Kofman, Kofman Organizations: Forbes, Service, YouTube, Militarnyi, Oryx, Russia, The Center, Naval, Carnegie Endowment, International, Russia's Ministry of Defense Locations: Ukrainian, Russian, Ukraine, Netherlands, Russia
And Kyiv has dramatically increased long-range missile and drone attacks against Russian military hubs: command centers, fuel and ammunition supplies, transport hubs. There is anecdotal evidence of this from other sources, but not to the degree that the Russian military machine would be damaged. Alexander Ermochenko/ReutersBut just as they seek to degrade Russian air defenses, the Ukrainians have made strides in improving their own. “Our air defense system has become even more comprehensive and experienced … By the winter, it will become even stronger.”Energy production has increased too. Ryan, the former Australian general, says Ukraine’s western partners must recognize and plan for this.
Persons: Franz, Stefan Gady, Michael Kofman, they’ve, It’s, Oleksandr Tarnavsky, ” Tarnavsky, Fred Pleitgen, Tarnavsky, Tony Radakin, Ukraine’s, it’s, WarZone, Gen, Kyrylo Budanov, , ” Tarnovsky, Oleksandr Ratushniak, , Mick Ryan, Futura, Timchenko, Alexander Ermochenko, Denys Shmyhal, Jens Stoltenberg, Antony Blinken, Ryan, outlast, Robert Rose, Sergei Supinsky, Max Boot, ” Boot, Vladimir Putin Organizations: CNN, , Russian, Black, Sea Navy, Planet Labs, US Army Tactical Missile, Defense Intelligence, Aviation, Reuters, UK Defense Ministry, Arms Army, CAA, IRIS, Energy, US, Firefighters, Getty, Council for Foreign Relations Locations: Ukraine, Kharkiv, Kherson, Ukrainian, ” Ukraine, Crimea, Sevastopol, Russian, Crimean, Moscow, Russia’s, Australian, Mariupol, Donbas, Europe, United States, AFP, Russia
Ukraine breached Russia's defensive line on Wednesday and was able to deploy vehicles past it. It was a major achievement, but analysts said Russia would respond with a harsh counterattack. It was a major dent in the so-called "Surovikin Line", but there are more layers of defense to go. AdvertisementAdvertisement"This is the first major crack in their defense … of course, the Russians should be worried," he said. An official cited by the state-run RIA Novosti agency said that Ukraine had tried to breach Russia's lines but was forced to retreat.
Persons: Marina Miron, Franz, Stefan Gady, Gady, Michael Kofman, Kofman, — Johan Huovinen Organizations: Service, Ukrainian, Department of, King's College London, Street, Institute for International Strategic Studies, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Swedish Defense University, RIA Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Wall, Silicon, Verbove, Zaporizhzhia
Ukrainian soldiers retook two villages south of Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine, a think tank reported. The attacks inflicted "severe" damage to Russian troops, The Institute for the Study of War said. The respected Institute for the Study of War said Ukrainian troops breached a strategic defensive line that Russian forces tried to hold onto in the area south of Bakhmut, citing Ukrainian military officials. The Ukrainian recapture of the villages — Klishchiivka and Andriivka — likely left Russian forces battle-worn and less able to fight. Ukraine's advance into new villages is the latest example of its steady but costly progress in the monthslong counteroffensive.
Persons: Andriivka —, Budanov, Mark Milley, aren't, Milley, Michael Kofman Organizations: Institute, Service, Russian, Reuters, US Army, Joint Chiefs of Staff, BBC News, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Kyiv Independent Locations: Bakhmut, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon
The first line has been hard to pass, but analysts say too many resources have been focused on it. A change in command likely means Russia's not utilizing the depths of its defenses, analysts say. Michael Kofman, a defense analyst and senior fellow at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told The Kyiv Independent that Ukraine was now working on breaching the second line. AdvertisementAdvertisementUkrainian generals say that the second line of defense will likely be far easier to break through, the Kyiv Independent reported. AdvertisementAdvertisementKofman told the paper that while Surovikin wanted a classic positional defense, Gerasimov preferred an active defense, including regular counterattacks, Kofman said.
Persons: Michael Kofman, Kofman, Viktor Kivliuk, Sergei Surovikin, Surovikin, General Valery Gerasimov, Gerasimov Organizations: Service, Kyiv Independent, Carnegie Endowment, International Peace, Center, Defense Locations: Russia, Wall, Silicon, Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukrainian, Russian
Ukraine has recently taken out two of Russia's prized S-400 air-defense systems in Crimea. US-based think tank the Institute for the Study of War said the latest attack may signal Russia's air defenses in Crimea have "systemic tactical failures," it wrote on Thursday. In April, Ukrainian defense secretary Oleksiy Danilov hinted that Ukraine sees Crimea as a testing ground for new weapons. The UK's Ministry of Defence said that those attacks also expose weaknesses in Russia's air defenses and have likely prompted a reorganization around air bases. The S-400 system was created as an upgrade to Russia's earlier S-300, the country's answer to the US Patriot air defense system.
Persons: Ukrainska, Oleksiy Danilov, Trump, Michael Kofman Organizations: Service, BBC, for, Ukrainska Pravda, Ukraine, UK's Ministry of Defence, US Patriot, Pentagon, New York Times, Times Locations: Ukraine, Crimea, Wall, Silicon, Yevpatoriya, Ukrainian, Olenivka, Russian, Turkey
Russia began laying minefields deeper than normal to make them harder for Ukraine to cross. The inconsistent and often improvised approach that followed, however, still created headaches for advancing Ukrainian forces. The result was that Russian minefields became irregular, which isn't necessarily out of the ordinary to begin with given terrain and time considerations. Citing conversations with Ukrainian forces, he also revealed that Russia sometimes built fake trench traps rigged with explosives. AdvertisementAdvertisementAnd the inconsistency and irregularity of the Russian minefields has only further complicated matters.
Persons: Jack Watling, Nick Reynolds, Watling, Reynolds, Michael Kofman Organizations: Service, Royal United Service Institute, Russian, 35th Marine Brigade, Anadolu Agency, Getty, Ukraine Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Russian, Donetsk
Ukrainian forces are making steady territorial gains in the southern Zaporizhzhia region. In doing so, Kyiv's troops have fought against the formidable Surovikin Line. As they approach Verbove, Kyiv's troops have are pushing against the main part of the so-called "Surovikin Line." The Surovikin Line is a complex system of defensive fortifications and obstacles across Russian-occupied territory in southern and eastern Ukraine. AdvertisementAdvertisementTo even reach the main line, Kyiv's soldiers have had to move through sprawling minefields — which has proven to be a slow and painstaking process.
Persons: Sergey Surovikin, Surovikin's, Valery Gerasimov, Wagner, George Barros, Barros, Rob Lee, Michael Kofman Organizations: Service, Factory, Russian Army, Institute, REUTERS Locations: Robotyne, Verbove, Wall, Silicon, Russian, Orikhiv, Azov, Kherson, Crimea, Ukraine, Kharkiv, Washington, Russia, Tokmak, Ukrainian, Moscow
Destruction near the village of Robotyne, in the Zaporizhzhia region of Ukraine, late last month. For their part, Ukrainian military officials refrained from making any sweeping claims. Ukrainians forces enjoyed surprising successes earlier in the war by holding Kyiv, the capital, and repelling Russian forces at the end of March last year. The Ukrainian military aims to reclaim land in the south and east of the country. To reach that city, Ukrainian forces would have to fully break through the defenses around Verbove and then breach additional layers.
Persons: Oleksandr Shtupun, Daniel Berehulak, Michael Kofman, Rob Lee, Volodymyr Zelensky, Gen, Oleksandr Syrskyi, Zelensky Organizations: Ukrainian Army, Black Bird Group, The New York Times, Presidential Press Service, Russian Locations: Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, Ukrainian, Verbove, Russian, Moscow, Kyiv, Dmytrivka, Azov, Melitopol, Crimea, Tokmak, Bakhmut, Donetsk
Coverage of the grueling conflict has, in part, been characterized by a litany of Russian military mistakes that began early and continue to crop up. Advertisement Advertisement Watch: VIDEO: Why Russia's military is failing so far in UkraineHere are 5 military mistakes Russia has made since February 24, 2022. Putin vowed Russian troops would take the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv within a matter of days. AdvertisementAdvertisementA man wearing a Ukrainian flag visits an avenue where destroyed Russian military vehicles have been displayed ahead of Independence Day in Kyiv, Ukraine, Monday, Aug. 21, 2023. There are several examples throughout the war of Russian troops and leaders harming their own side.
Persons: Vladimir Putin's, Putin, Efrem Lukatsky Putin, Michael Kofman, Calder Walton, ANATOLII STEPANOV, Serhii, aren't, Screengrab Organizations: Service, Kyiv, Center for Naval, Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, Intelligence, Sunday Times, Javelin, Getty, High Mobility Artillery, Kremlin, Security Service, Russian Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Wall, Silicon, Kyiv Russia, Kyiv, Russian, Ukrainian, Bucha, Vuhledar, Oskol, Ukraine's Kharkiv, AFP, Makiivka, Donetsk Oblast, village's, Belgorod, Crimean, Kerch
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